اثر تنوع‌بخشی عملیات بیمه‌گری بر ریسک‌ سرمایه‌گذاری شرکت‌های بیمه

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 دانش‌آموخته دکتری مالی-بیمه، دانشکده مدیریت، دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران و عضو هیات علمی گروه مدیریت بازرگانی و مالی، دانشکده اقتصاد و مدیریت، دانشگاه سیستان و بلوچستان، زاهدان، ایران .

2 استاد گروه مالی و بیمه، دانشکده مدیریت، دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران.

3 دانشیار گروه اقتصاد، دانشکده اقتصاد، دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران.

چکیده

این پژوهش اثر تنوع‌بخشی در عملیات بیمه­ گری و سبد بیمه‌ای بر میزان ریسک ­پذیری در سرمایه ­گذاری شرکت‌های بیمه را بررسی می­کند. طبق فرضیه مدیریت ریسک هماهنگ انتظار می‎رود بین ریسک سرمایه‌گذاری و ریسک بیمهگری شرکت‌های بیمه رابطه منفی وجود داشته باشد بطوری که شرکتهای بیمه‌ای که ریسک بیمه‏گری را از طریق تنوع‌بخشی سبد بیمه ‎ای کاهش (افزایش) می ‎دهند به دنبال آن ریسک سرمایه ‎گذاری خود را افزایش (کاهش) دهند بدون توجه به اینکه سطح کل ریسک افزایش یا کاهش یابد و یا اینکه ثابت بماند. در این پژوهش برای بررسی اثر تنوع‌بخشی سبد بیمه‎ ای به عنوان متغیر مستقل بر میزان ریسک ‎پذیری در دارایی‌ها به عنوان متغیر وابسته از مدل‎های رگرسیونی حداقل مربعات معمولی و حداقل مربعات دو مرحله‎ای استفاده شد. سایر متغیرهای مهم اثرگذار بر ریسک‎ سرمایه‎ گذاری نیز در مدل‎ها لحاظ شدند. همچنین برای بررسی پایداری نتایج از معیارهای جایگزین تنوع‎بخشی و ریسک‎ پذیری در دارایی ‎ها و مطالعه رویدادی استفاده شد. نمونه‎ پژوهش شامل 29 شرکت بیمه‌ی مستقیم است و دوره پژوهش از سال 1385 تا 1402 را پوشش می‌دهد. یافته‎ها نشان دادند مطابق با فرضیه مدیریت ریسک هماهنگ شرکت‌های بیمه­ای که پرتفوی بیمه ­ای متنوع­تری دارند نسبت به شرکت‌های بیمه  ­ای که از تنوع کمتری برخوردارند در سرمایه‌گذاری­های خود ریسک‌پذیرترند. نتایج این پژوهش نسبت به معیارهای مختلف اندازه‌گیری تنوع‌بخشی در عملیات بیمه ­گری و معیارهای اندازه‌گیری ریسک ­پذیری در دارایی­ ها و تورش‌های بالقوه ناشی از درون­زایی متغیرها معتبر و پایدار باقی ماندند. همچنین مطالعه رویدادی نشان داد شرکت‌هایی که میزان تنوع­‌ سبد بیمه­ ای خود را در یک دوره کاهش می­ دهند و متمرکزتر می ­شوند ریسک سرمایه‎ گذاری خود را نیز کاهش می­ دهند و متقابلاً شرکت‌هایی که سبد بیمه ای خود را در یک دوره متنوع­تر می­کنند به تناسب آن دارایی ­های پرریسک ­تری در سرمایه‌گذاری خود انتخاب می ­کنند.

کلیدواژه‌ها


عنوان مقاله [English]

The Effect of Underwriting Diversification on Investment Risk of Insurance Companies

نویسندگان [English]

  • Arash Goodarzi 1
  • Reza Tehrani 2
  • Ali Souri 3
1 Ph. D in finance-insurance, Department of financial management and insurance, Faculty of management, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran and lecturer, Department of Business and financial management, Faculty of Economics and Management, University of Sistan and Baluchestan, Zahedan, Iran.
2 Professor in finance, Department of financial management and insurance, Faculty of management, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran.
3 Associate Professor in economics, Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran
چکیده [English]

Abstract
This study investigates the effect of diversification in the underwriting activities and insurance portfolio on the level of risk-taking in the investment activities of insurance companies. According to the coordinated risk management hypothesis, it is expected that there is a negative relationship between investment risk and underwriting risk of insurance companies. To examine the effect of insurance portfolio diversification as independent variable on the level of asset risk-taking as dependent variable, ordinary least squares and two-stage least squares regression models were used. Also, alternative measures of diversification and asset risk-taking, and an event study were used to do a robustness check and support the results. The research sample includes 29 direct insurance companies and covers the period from 2006 to 2023. The findings showed that consistent with coordinated risk management hypothesis, insurance companies that have a more diversified insurance portfolio take more asset risk than those with a less diversified insurance portfolio. The results were robust to corrections for alternative diversification and asset risk measures and potential endogeneity bias of variables.
Introduction
Risk management is of increasing importance to companies. The traditional risk management theory focuses on the use of hedging to reduce total firm risk. By contrast, the coordinated risk management theory argues that risk management can be used to allocate risk among multiple risk sources, rather than to reduce total risk. Indeed, the coordinated risk management is the substitution of core-business risk for homogeneous risk. In the insurance industry, Underwriting activities are considered as the core-business risk and investment activities are considered as the homogeneous risk. According to the coordinated risk management theory, it is expected that diversification of insurance portfolio redistributes risk between underwriting and investing. This study investigates whether diversification of insurance portfolio affects risk-taking in investment activities of insurance companies.
Methods
According to the coordinated risk management hypothesis, the greater (less) diversification in the insurance portfolio, which reduces (increases) the underwriting risk, the greater (less) the investment risk. Thus, the research hypothesis can be stated as follows: diversification in insurance portfolio leads to greater risk-taking in assets (investments). The following regression equation illustrates the relationships between variables according to this hypothesis:
where  is the level of asset risk-taking,  represents both diversification extent () and diversification status () and others (: firm size, : Geographic Diversification, : financial leverage, : extent of reinsurance, : extent of centeral ownership, : extent of managerial ownership, : long-tail line, : combined ratio, : returne of assets, : insolvency risk, : year fixed effects) are control variables. To test the research hypothesis, the regression equation is estimated with different risk-taking measures and diversification measures using ordinary least squares and two-stage least squares (2SLS) regression models.
Discussion and Results
The results of estimation of multivariate regressions of risk-taking in assets on diversification status and extent show the coefficient estimates on diversification measures are consistently positive and significant across all regression models. The positive sign of coefficient of  implies that diversified insurance companies take more risk in their investments than non-diversified insurance companies. Similarly, in the  (diversification extent) regressions it is found that as an insurance company becomes more diversified, it correspondingly takes more risk. Several results for control variables are noteworthy. The sign of the coefficient on  is positive and significant in all regressions, providing some evidence that large insurers are able to take more risk. The negative coefficients on  support the hypotheses that highly levered insurers take less risk in their portfolios to assuage the agency problems. According to expectation it was found that coefficients on  are positive, suggesting that reinsurance is a substitute of business line diversification.
Conclusion
The results of the model estimation showed that insurance companies that have a diverse insurance portfolio, and were identified as diversified insurance companies in this study, invest more in risky assets and allocate a greater proportion of their assets holding to risky assets than insurance companies that have a non-diversified or less diversified insurance portfolio. Thus, by reducing the risk of underwriting activities as core-business risk, they increase the risk of investment activities as their homogeneous risk.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Diversification
  • Investment Risk
  • Underwriting Activities
  • Coordination Risk Management
فهرست منابع
ابراهیمی، سید کاظم؛ بهرامی نسب، علی؛ بستانی، حسین؛ فخارمنش، محمدرضا. (1396)، تأثیر راهبرد تنوع‌بخشی بر سودآوری شرکت‌ها، فصلنامه پژوهش‎‌های حسابداری مالی و حسابرسی، 35(9) 121-134
سجادی، سید حسین؛ فرازمند، حسن؛ نیک‌کار، جواد. (1392)، تأثیر ساختار مالکیت بر ریسک سرمایه‌گذاری در شرکت‌ها، فصلنامه پژوهش‎‌های حسابداری مالی و حسابرسی، 20(5) 29-56
سوری، علی. (1392)، اقتصادسنجی پیشرفته (جلددوم)، نشر فرهنگ­شناسی، چاپ اول
نعیمی، ناهید؛ زراعتگری، رامین. (1401)، بررسی عوامل تعیین‌کننده سرمایه‌گذاری مخاطره‌آمیز در بورس اوراق بهادار تهران، پژوهش های مدیریت عمومی ،11(15)، 241-233
وارث، حامد؛ خزائی، سجاد؛ بناء‌زاده، محمد جواد. (1398)، بررسی تأثیر راهبرد تنوع‌بخشی سبد کسب وکار شرکت‌های مادر  بر عملکرد مالی با مدل غیرخطی، فصلنامه مدیریت بازرگانی، 11(2)،437-456
Berger, P.G. and Ofek, E. (1995). Diversification’s Effect on Firm Value., Journal of Financial Economics, 37(1), 39-65
Berry-Stölzle, T.R., Liebenberg, A.P., Ruhland, J.S., Sommer, D.W. (2012). Determinants of Corporate Diversification: Evidence from the Property-Liability Insurance Industry, Journal of Risk and Insurance, 79(2), 381-413.
Chen, T.,  Kamiya, S., Lou, P. & Milidonis, A (2023). Analyst Coverage, Executive Compensation and Corporate Risk-Taking: Evidence from Property–Casualty Insurance Firms, Journal of Risk and Insurance, 90 (4), 899-939
Cheng, B., Wang, H., Zhang, L. (2024). Robust Investment for Insurers with Correlation Ambiguity.  Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 93(February 2024), 247-257
Cummins, D., Sommer, D. (1996). Capital and Risk in Property-Liability Insurance Markets, Journal of Banking and Finance, 20(6), 1069-1092.
Cummins, J.D., Weiss, M.A., Xie, X., Zi, H. (2010). Economies of Scope in Financial Services: A DEA Efficiency Analysis of the US Insurance Industry, Journal of Banking and Finance, 34(7), 1525-1539.
Dimitrov, V. and Tice, S., (2006). Corporate Diversification and Credit Constraints: Real Effects across the Business Cycle, Review of Financial Studies, 19(4), 1465-1498.
Duchin, R. (2010). Cash Holdings and Corporate Diversification, Journal of Finance, 65(3), 955-992
Ebrahimi, S.K.  Bahraminasab, A. ,  Bostani H., Fakharmanesh, M.R., (2017). The Impact of Diversification Strategy on the Profitability of Firms, The Financial Accounting and Auditing Researches, 35)9), 121-134(In Persian)   
Elango, B., Ma, Y., Pope, N. (2008). An Investigation into the Diversification-Performance Relationship in the U.S. Property-Liability Insurance Company, Journal of Risk and Insurance, 75(3), 567-591  
Flarackis, C., Kanas, A., Kostakis, A., Sainani, S. (2020). Idiosyncratic Risk, Risk-Taking Incentive and the Relation between Managerial Ownership and Firm Value, European Journal of Operational Research, 283(2), 748-766
Froot, K.A., Scharfstein, D.S., Stein, J., (1993). Risk Management: Coordinating Corporate Investment and Financing Policies, Journal of Finance, 48(5), 1629-1658.
Gaver, J.J., Paterson, J.S. (2004). Do Insurers Manipulate Loss Reserves to Mask Solvency Problems?, Journal of Accounting and Economics, 37(3), 393-416.   
González ,F.(2020), Creditor Rights, Financial Health, and Corporate Investment Efficiency, The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 51(January 2020), 1-22
Goyal, B., & Gulati, R. (2024). Insurer’s Risk-Taking Behavior in India: Does the Board matter? International Journal of the Economics of Business31(2), 131–173.
Hann, R.N., Ogneva, M., Ozbas, O. (2013). Corporate Diversification and the Cost of Capital, Journal of Finance, 68(5), 1961-1999.
Ho, C., Lai, G.C., Lee, J. (2013). Organizational Structure, Board Compensation, and Risk Taking in the U.S. Property Casualty Insurance Industry, Journal of Risk and Insurance, 80(1), 169-203.
Hoyt, R.E., Trieschmann, J.S. (1991). Risk/Return Relationships for Life-Health, Property-Liability, and Diversified Insurers, Journal of Risk and Insurance, 58(2), 322-330
Hund, J., Monk, D. and Tice, S. (2010). Uncertainty about Average Profitability and the Diversification Discount, Journal of Financial Economics, 96(3), 463-484
Kim  ,S. , Thompson,  E.K., Kim , C. (2023), Credit rating and managerial behavior in investment decision making: Evidence from the Korean market, Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Vol. 37(March 2023),  1-18
Kim, E.H., Lu, Y. (2011). CEO ownership, external governance, and risk-taking, Journal of Financial Economics, 102(2), 272–292.
Kuppuswamy, V., Villalonga, B. (2016). Does Diversification Create Value in the Presence of External Financing Constraints? Evidence from the 2007-2009 Financial Crisis, Management Science, 62(4) , 905-923
Lang, L.H.P., Stulz, R.M. (1994). Tobin’s Q, Corporate Diversification, and Firm Performance, Journal of Political Economy, 102(6), 1248-1280
Lee, S., Mayers, D., Smith, C.W. (1997). Guranty Funds and Risk-Taking Evidence from the Insurance Industry, Journal of Financial Economics, 44(1), 3-24.
Lewellen, W.G. (1971). A Pure Financial Rationale for the Conglomerate Merger, Journal of Finance, 26(2), 521-537.
Liebenberg, A.P., Sommer, D.W. (2008), Effects of Corporate Diversification: Evidence from the Property-Liability Insurance Industry, Journal of Risk and Insurance, 75(4), 893-919.
Luciano, E., Rochet, J.C. (2022). The Fluctuation of Insurer, Risk Appetite, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 144(November 2022), 104543
Mayers, D., Smith, C.W. (1982). On the Corporate Demand for insurance, Journal of Business, 55(2), 281-296
McShane, M.K., Zhang, T., Cox, L.A. (2012). Risk Allocation across the Enterprise: Evidence from the Insurance Industry, Journal of Insurance Issues, 35(1), 73-99.
Mitton, T., Vorkink, K., (2010). Why Do Firms with Diversification Discounts Have Higher Expected Returns? Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 45(6), 1367-1390
Myers, C. S., A. Read, J.Jr. (2001). Capital Allocation for Insurance Companies, Journal of Risk & Insurance, 68(4), 545-580.
Naeemi, N., & Zeraatgari, R. (2022). Determinants of Venture Capital on the Tehran Stock Exchange. Public Management Researches, 15 (57), 201-233. (In Persian)
Pottier, S.W. (2007). The Determinants of Private Debt Holdings: Evidence from the Life Insurance Industry, Journal of Risk and Insurance, 74(3), 591-612.
Sajadi, Seyed, HosseinFarazmand, Hasan  , Nikkar Javad (2013). The impact of ownership structure on the risk of investing in companies, The Financial Accounting and Auditing Researches, 20)5), 29-56. (In Persian)
Schrand, C.M., Unal, H.)1998(. Hedging and Coordinated Risk Management: Evidence from Thrift Conversions, Journal of Finance, 53(3), 979-1013.
Schuh, F. and Lukas Michael Noth (2022). Ownership Structures and Risk Taking in the German Property-Liability Insurance Market, Journal of Co-operative Organization and Management, 10(1), 100165
Smith, C., Stulz, R. (1985), The Determinants of Firms’ Hedging Policies, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 20(4), 391-405
Souri, A. (2013). Econometrics (Volume2), Farhanshenasi, Tehran (In Persian)
Tong, Z. (2011). Firm Diversification and the Value of Corporate Cash Holdings, Journal of Corporate Finance, 17(3), 741-758.
Yan, A., Yang, Z., Jiao, J. (2010). Conglomerate Investment under Various Capital Market Conditions, Journal of Banking and Finance, 34(1), 103-115
Yu, T., Lin, B., Oppenheimer, H.R., Chen, X. (2008). Intangible Assets and First Risk-taking: An Analysis of Property and Liability Insurance Firms”, Risk Management and Insurance Review, 11(1), 157-178
Vares, H., Kazaei, S., Bannazadeh, M.J. (2019). Investigating the Effectiveness of Business Portfolio Diversification Strategy on Financial Performance using Nonlinear Model in Parent Companies, Journal of Business Management, 11(2), 437-456. (In Persian)